Saturday 15 October 2016

The Importance Of Having A Futures Technical Analysis

By Sarah Turner


When talking about finance, technical analysis is a type of method for security analysis in order to forecast the direction of all the prices through studying the past data of market, usually the price and the volume. Two common fields that are using this kind of method are the behavioral economics and the quantitative analysis. This method has become one of the aspects of active management and also, its efficacy, together with fundamental analysis is being debated by market hypothesis in which it states that the prices are very unpredictable.

The fundamental analysts will examine the dividends, quality, new products, earnings, assets, ratio, research, etc. There are a lot of methods that are being used in this and one of it are charts. By the use of charts, doing the futures technical analysis can be very easy in identifying the patterns of prices and as well as the market trends for the financial market and for exploiting those patterns.

The technicians will be searching about the patterns like double top or bottom reversal or head and shoulders pattern for studying technical indicators, moving the averages, and looking for forms such as lines of support, resistance, channels, and other forms which are obscure like cup and handle patterns, balance days, pennants, and flags. Other types of indicators are also being used like mathematical transformations of prices. The transformation usually includes advance or decline data, up or down volumes, and some other types of input.

Technicians also are looking on the relations of price and volume indices and indicators. The examples on this are moving averages, relative strength index, and MACD. Other indicator types such as short interest, call ratio and pull ratio, implied volatility, bear ratio and bull ratio, etc. Are also important.

A lot of techniques are being used in technical method. One of it is the subjective judgment. This is done in order to decide on which pattern an instrument will reflect in a given period of time and on what will be the interpretation of that certain pattern. Others use either the mechanical approach or the systematic approach for the identification and the interpretation of a pattern.

It is in contrast with fundamental method which is the study of economic factors that influence the way how investors are going to price the financial markets. In the technical method, prices are already been reflected on its fundamental factors. Some traders use fundamental or technical methods while others prefer on using both.

The technical method is being used widely by different traders and other financial professionals and usually, it is used by the market makers, pit traders, and day traders. But users have stated that this cannot be able to predict the future, but instead, helps in identifying the trading opportunities. This is because its evidences are sparse and inconsistent.

The principle of this is the prices will reflect all of the relevant information. And the reason for this is so that their analysis will look at the history of trading pattern of security rather than the external drivers. These drivers are the fundamental, economic, and also news events.

There are 3 principles in which most analysts believe. It includes market action discounting everything, prices move in trends, and history keeps on repeating itself. Thus, actions of price will keep on repeating since the investors continue on tending to patterned behaviors.




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